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Cash: It’s the
asset class investors love to hate. Even as a declining interest-rate
environment has helped both stocks and bonds deliver decent returns over
the past decade, poor cash investors have had to settle for ever-lower
yields. Today, money market yields are barely positive, and even
higher-yielding cash options like high-yield savings accounts won’t
likely keep up with inflation over the long run. Nor are cash yields
likely to get appreciably better any time soon, as the Federal Reserve
has telegraphed its intention to move slowly on rate hikes, lest it
disrupt a not precisely booming economy.
But
even though cash looks like a big “why bother?” today, it remains an
essential ingredient in all financial plans, including those of
retirees. Not only can it help meet unplanned expenses, which occur in
retirement just as at other life stages, but it can also help on the
peace-of-mind front. A cash component is the linchpin of “the bucket
strategy” for retirement portfolios, enabling retirees to tolerate the
fluctuations that will accompany the stock and bond components of their
portfolios. And given that market valuations aren’t especially cheap
today, opportunistic investors may also like the idea of maintaining
some “dry powder” that they can put to work in beaten-down assets,
whether stocks or bonds.
Yet
even as cash provides stability and liquidity, low yields are an
opportunity cost, so it’s important to not go overboard. If you’re
retired or getting close to retirement, here are some key steps to take
as you assess the liquidity component of your portfolio.
Step 1: Reassess Your Emergency FundGiven
that one of the key reasons to hold an emergency fund is to tide you
over in case of unexpected job loss, it may not seem necessary to
maintain an emergency fund once you stop working. But at least some type
of an emergency fund remains essential in retirement, too, in that it
can allow you to cover large, unexpected expenses without having to raid
your long-term assets. Think new cars, new roofs, big vet or dental
bills, or emergency calls to aid family members.
Just
how large your in-retirement emergency fund should be depends on your
personal circumstances. What “lumpy” expenses have tended to catch you
off guard in the past? What new ones could crop up in retirement? In a
past Morningstar.com Discuss forum thread, summarized in this article,
many posters said that dental bills were the biggest cost that surprised
them in retirement. And despite Medicare Part D coverage,
pharmaceutical costs can represent another big-ticket, out-of-pocket
outlay for many retiree households. (Of course, if you have a recurring
prescription expense, it’s wise to factor that into your household
budget and find the Part D plan that best covers the prescriptions that
you take.) If you own a home (especially an aging one) and are on the
hook for ongoing maintenance costs, that argues for a larger emergency
fund than if you’re a renter; people who own cars or have pets are also
likely to have unplanned outlays from time to time. It’s also a fact of
life that financially healthy family members are sometimes asked to help
adult children or siblings who are in a financial bind; if you’ve been a
financial savior for your relatives in the past, you could find
yourself in that spot in the future, too.
Step 2: Consider the Bucket SystemIn
addition to setting aside an emergency fund, retirees may also want to
consider a cash component as part of their long-term portfolios. The
virtue of that cash “bucket” is that in difficult market environments,
either for stocks or bonds, the retiree can leave the long-term
portfolio components undisturbed and in place to recover. That makes
sense from an investment standpoint, and can also provide valuable peace
of mind in turbulent market environments like 2008. The retiree can
spend from bucket 1 on an ongoing basis, periodically refilling it with
income distributions or rebalancing proceeds. Alternatively, the retiree
can leave the cash undisturbed, to be spent only in catastrophic
situations when income distributions and/or rebalancing proceeds are
insufficient to meet living expenses in a given year.
But
holding too much cash in bucket 1 can drag on a portfolio. Thus, I’ve
typically recommended that investors hold anywhere from six months’ to
two years’ worth of living expenses in cash instruments; in my recent
discussion with financial planner Harold Evensky, the architect of the
“bucket” approach to portfolio planning, he suggests that holding one
year’s worth of living expenses in cash is a good rule of thumb.
Step 3: Identify Next-Line ReservesIn
addition to lining up cash to serve as your emergency fund and supply
living expenses in case of a downturn in your long-term portfolio, it’s
also valuable to identify “next-line reserves” in case your cash runs
dry. In my model bucket portfolios, for example, I’ve stairstepped the
portfolios by risk level: In addition to cash, I’ve maintained exposure
to a high-quality short-term bond fund. If, in a catastrophic market
environment the cash in the portfolio runs dry, the short-term bond fund
could be tapped in a pinch; even in a terrible market environment, such
a fund is unlikely to incur steep losses. For retired investors who
forego cash/bucket 1 as part of their investment portfolios, identifying
next-line reserves is essential.
Retirees
might also consider home equity as a source of liquidity in a pinch.
This article discusses the idea of maintaining a “standby reverse
mortgage” to help a retiree limit the opportunity cost of cash while
also maintaining access to liquidity during a downturn in the investment
portfolio.
Step 4: Maximize Yield--to a PointTrue,
it’s hard to get excited about earning 1% on anything, and that’s about
as high a yield as you’re apt to get on cash accounts today. But look
at it this way--1% of $100,000 is $1,000, whereas 0.25%--the yield on
some lesser-yielding cash accounts--is just $250. That $750 differential
could be a month’s worth of groceries, or a two-night stay in a luxury
hotel. Depending on the amount of cash you’ve set aside, it’s worth your
while to shop around for the best yield you can find. Today, online
savings banks will tend to offer the best combination of decent yields
and FDIC protections. And the more you invest, the more attractive your
yield is apt to be. Thus, it can be a good idea to consolidate your cash
holdings into a single receptacle, if practical.
Stable-value
funds, discussed here, are another way to earn a higher yield than true
cash instruments, and may prove especially valuable when there's a more
meaningful yield differential between cash and intermediate-term bonds.
While stable-value funds court more risks than true cash instruments,
they've historically been quite safe. You can only find stable-value
funds within company retirement plans, though, so to maintain access to
them, you'd need to leave assets behind in your plan rather than rolling
them over to an IRA.
Retirees
will want to be careful about reaching too far for yield, however.
While some cash alternatives do promise a higher yield than does true
cash, they might give up something in exchange--liquidity, stability, or
both. This article discusses how to evaluate the trade-offs of cash
alternatives.
Culled from morningstar
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